Adam Riley and I have been considering ‘what next in AI’ and its implications for us as knowledge workers.
Whether or not we (as a society) ever achieve AGI, just the journey towards it will be hugely impactful and deliver new capabilities that again redefine the human-technology relationship.
AI may develop many of the cognitive abilities associated with the human mind but still not achieve ‘AGI’. So while it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it might not be a duck, but it is so ‘duck-like’ that in reality it makes no difference.
AI doesn’t need to have the intelligence of the smartest humans to completely reshape whole sectors of the economy. You don’t need to be a savant to perform well in whatever job you have, most of us are ‘smart enough’. We don’t need to achieve AGI for artificial intelligence that is ‘just smart enough’ to displace millions of jobs.